Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 6.997783 7.713157 8.476862 9.353979 10.334940 11.399838 12.645513
2025-11-23 5.847763 6.834462 7.959435 9.341850 11.001482 12.937968 15.380470
2025-11-30 5.148056 6.319530 7.731430 9.569920 11.917349 14.836501 18.776060
2025-12-07 4.501383 5.757078 7.342777 9.511952 12.432644 16.272400 21.774487
2025-12-14 3.943327 5.221883 6.901979 9.300066 12.681846 17.351083 24.409634
2025-12-21 3.555105 4.855623 6.626381 9.252590 13.115308 18.694391 27.559113
2025-12-28 3.324390 4.672951 6.571065 9.489620 13.957579 20.695993 31.933154
2026-01-04 3.114489 4.493123 6.492858 9.670858 14.718865 22.644642 36.476847
2026-01-11 2.896785 4.277318 6.334670 9.703335 15.237211 24.253144 40.666487
2026-01-18 2.679059 4.039372 6.116633 9.611403 15.531748 25.511682 44.407751
2026-01-25 2.478877 3.809823 5.888319 9.473987 15.724726 26.603640 47.981317
2026-02-01 2.301644 3.601040 5.673166 9.332986 15.887765 27.647492 51.593393
2026-02-08 2.143032 3.413211 5.481717 9.222948 16.109852 28.854628 55.775499
2026-02-15 2.010344 3.257927 5.331685 9.170844 16.431914 30.289562 60.656305
2026-02-22 1.933491 3.190368 5.324635 9.373433 17.252513 32.789194 68.199956
2026-03-01 1.820201 3.050907 5.180010 9.306410 17.541089 34.257149 73.720792
2026-03-08 1.695749 2.882451 4.969980 9.094566 17.515226 35.066603 77.862421
2026-03-15 1.606154 2.769433 4.850925 9.045706 17.813039 36.594485 83.960524
2026-03-22 1.561533 2.734510 4.872581 9.275418 18.717736 39.566421 94.157946
2026-03-29 1.512801 2.688167 4.868461 9.451351 19.524825 42.423878 104.608533
2026-04-05 1.449878 2.610570 4.798053 9.482648 20.013939 44.602593 113.667047
2026-04-12 1.377673 2.510333 4.675877 9.392898 20.217399 46.119596 121.182351
2026-04-19 1.305967 2.406414 4.538934 9.258914 20.302995 47.355661 128.133014